Last month, the U.S. Supreme Court sat for a re-argument of what promises to be one of its most important cases in recent memory: Louisiana v. Callais. As I often tell people, I am not a lawyer. But I ...

The founder of FiveThirtyEight has a new book on his path from playing poker professionally to political forecasting, and why people like to risk it all Nate Silver became a nationwide sensation in ...

If history teaches us anything, it’s that political forecasters almost always get it wrong. Just look at Venezuela, writes Paul Ormerod Following the dramatic events in Venezuela, regime change is a ...

Election forecasting involves the application of statistical, computational and economic models to predict electoral outcomes, drawing upon sources such as national and regional opinion polls, ...